Potential for tropical disturbance forming in Gulf is high

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Graphic courtesy/NationalWeatherService.gov

Regardless if the low pressure area moving towards the Gulf of Mexico from Georgia becomes a tropical weather system or not, forecasters believe there is a increase chance for lots of rain this weekend. From eight to ten inches of precipitation may fall on Vidor between now and Sunday.

Stay alert and aware this week

The National Weather Service office in Lake Charles has been issuing alerts since Monday morning about an area of low pressure centered over southern Georgia that is likely to move south and out into the Gulf of Mexico and developing into a tropical depression and eventually a hurricane. Now all of this potential weather forecast is based upon NWS computer modeling and being models they are subject to change.

NWS Meteorologist Donald Jones of the NWS Lake Charles office said in a weather briefing on Monday night, “We are looking at the possibilities of tropical development in the Gulf of Mexico later this week. It looks like any tropical development is going to be delayed, at least until Wednesday, and more likely on Thursday or Friday is when we are going to see a system start to ramp up.”

Jones said, on Monday night, that an elongated area of low pressure that, at that time, was extending from south Georgia and into the North and South Carolinas was drifting south towards the Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday and Wednesday and should emerge over the warm Gulf waters of the northeastern Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday or Thursday.

He indicated that the National Hurricane Center was advising that once the low pressure center moves over the Gulf of Mexico waters on Wednesday or Thursday the low pressure center has an eighty percent potential of developing into a tropical weather system.



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